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Opinion-Poll Surveys : Assam Assembly Election 2016

This post consists of the following list of poll surveys conducted by various organizations :
Quora Review
Leadtech – Infoelections.com
Based on Parliamentary Election Results 2014
CVoter Poll
Times of India
Organization
: Chief Electoral Officer CEO Assam (ceoassam.nic.in)
Facility : Poll Survey for Assembly Election 2016

Assam Assembly Election :

According to Various Opinion Polls to be published by Various Survey agencies and TV Channels Following are the Opinion Polls for Assam Assembly Elections 2015

Related / Similar Post : Assam NRC Legacy Data Search

1)Quora Review :

** According to this opinion poll base on 2011 assembly election and 2014 lokshabha election.
** The BJP will get 68 seats.
** BOPF will get 12 seats.
** 24 seat will go to AUIDF and INC will get 22 seats.
** The recent news BOPF will make alliance with the BJP.
** Clear victory for NDA with 80 seats.
** Sarbananda Sonowal (bjp) will become cm of assam.
** If AUIDF make alliance with INC though BJP get 55 seats and 10 BOPF.
** NDA will get 65 seats and 61 to UPA.


2) Leadtech – Infoelections.com :

Leadtech Assam Assembly Election 2016 Opinion Poll (Oct’15 – January 2016) * 2825 voters

Party 2016 Seat forecast Vote %
BJP 61 53.4
INC 36 27.7
AIUDF 26 16.6
Others 3 2.2

3) Based on Parliamentary Election Results 2014 :

** According to Recent Parliamentary Elections held and the voting pattern observed following are the figures.
** This opinion poll has been calculated based on Lok sabha Elections 2014.
** The result of Lok Sabha elections 2014 has been consolidated assembly wise and depending upon voting results party wise in particular assembly the seats have been calculated.
** This may not be the correct trend but this is the latest data based on which the possible voting pattern has been calculated.

Party No of Seats
BJP 67
INC 25
AIUDF 25
IND 8
BOPF 1

4) CVoter Poll :

Party No of seats Vote %
BJP 57 35
Congress 44 35.6
AIUDF 19
Others 6

** In the northeastern state of Assam, the BJP-led alliance is projected to win 57 seats in a House of 126, seven short of majority.
** Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi’s Congress party is projected to win 44 seats, down from 78 it won five years ago.
** Badruddin Ajmal’s All Indian United Democratic Front is projected to win 19 seats, one up from last time, while ‘Others’ may win six.
** The survey makes it clear that, the survey in Assam was conducted before Asom Gana Parishad and BJP tieup was announced.
** The BJP-led alliance in the survey results, includes Bodo People’s Front.
** The CVoter also clarified that the “full impact of AGP-BJP alliance will be known only in the next round of survey.
** The AGP figures in this survey are part of ‘Others'”
** Voting percentagewise, BJP-led alliance is projected to get 35 pc, up from 33.9 pc last time, while the ruling Congress voteshare may be reduced to 35.6 from 39.4 last time.


5) Times of India :

Party No of Seats
BJP 55
Congress 53
All India United Democratic Front 12
Others 6

** The opinion poll projects that the BJP-led alliance in Assam could win 55 seats in a House of 126, nine short of majority while Congress led by Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi is projected to win 53 seats, down from 78 it had won five years ago.
** The BJP-led alliance includes the AGP and Bodo People’s Front.
** Badruddin Ajmal’s All India United Democratic Front is projected to win 12 seats, six less than last time, while ‘Others’ may win six seats.


Summary :
This is the summary of all the opinion poll surveys so far for the assembly elections for Tamilnadu in 2016.

ByDateBJPINCAIUDFUPAINDBOPFNDAOthers
Leadtech - Infoelections.comJan-03-201653.4%27.7%16.6%16.6%---2.2%
Quora ReviewJan-15-201568222461-1265-
Based on Parliamentary Election Results 2014Jan-15-2016672525-81--
CVoter PollMar-05-2016574419----
Times of IndiaApr-01-2016555312----6

Note :
BJP – Bharatiya Janata Party
INC – Indian National Congress
AIUDF – All India United Democratic Front
IND – All India United Democratic Front
BOPF – Bodoland People’s Front
NDA – National Democratic Alliance
UPA – United Progressive Alliance
1 Comment
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  1. BJP- 26 WIN / INC-51/AIUDF-17/BPF-09/AGP-09/IND-11& OTHERS-03

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